Millennium Project Futures Research Methodology Version 2.0

Each chapter gives an executive overview of each method’s history, description, primary and alternative usages, strengths and weaknesses, use in combination with other methods, and speculation about future usage. Some also contain appendixes with applications and sources for further information. Over half of the 25 methods methods presented were written by the inventor of the method or by a significant contributor to its evolution.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction to the Futures Research Methods Series, Jerome C. Glenn 2. Environmental Scanning, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn 3. The Delphi Method, Theodore J. Gordon 4. The Futures Wheel, Jerome C. Glenn 5. Trend Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon 6. Cross-Impact Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon 7. Structural Analysis, Jacques Arcade, Michel Godet, Francis Meunier,Fabrice Roubelat 8. The Systems Perspectives, Allenna Leonard with Stafford Beer 9. Decision Modeling, The Futures Group International 10. Statistical Modeling, The Futures Group International 11. Technology Sequence Analysis, Theodore J. Gordon 12. Relevance Trees and Morphological Analysis, The Futures Group International 13. Scenarios, Jerome C. Glenn and The Futures Group International 13.5 Interactive Scenarios, Theodore J. Gordon 14. Participatory Methods, Jerome C. Glenn 15. Simulation and Games, Erwin Rausch with additions from Frank Catanzaro 16. Genius Forecasting, Vision, and Intuition, Jerome C. Glenn 17. Normative Forecasting, Joe Coates and Jerome C. Glenn 18. S&T Road Mapping, Theodore J. Gordon 19. Field Anomaly Relaxation (FAR), R. Geoffrey Coyle 20. Text Mining for Technology Foresight, Alan L. Porter 21. Agent Modeling (demo software), Theodore J. Gordon 22. State of the Future Index (SOFI) Method, Theodore J. Gordon 23. SOFI System, Peter Yim 24. The Multiple Perspective Concept, Harold A. Linstone 25. A Toolbox for Scenario Planning, Michel Godet 26. Causal Layered Analysis, Sohail Inayatullah 27 Integration, Comparisons, and Frontiers of Futures Research Methods, Theodore J. Gordon and Jerome C. Glenn

Editors : Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore Gordon Publisher : AC/UNU Millennium Project ISBN : 0-9722051-1-X ; about 700 pages, available only on CD. US$45.95 + shipping To order send credit card info to : acunu@igc.org or mail a US Dollars check to : AC/UNU Millennium Project 4421 Garrison Street, NW Washington, DC 20016 USA